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author = "Marsigli C."
1

Found 8 documents, displaying page 1 of 1

Probabilistic high-resolution forecast of heavy precipitation over Central Europe

Author(s) : Marsigli, C. , Montani, A. , Nerozzi, F. , Paccagnella, T.
Description : The limited-area ensemble prediction system COSMO-LEPS has been running operationally at ECMWF since November 2002. Five runs of the non-hydrostatic limited-area model Lokal Modell (LM) are available every day, nested on five selected members of three consecutive 12-h lagged ECMWF global ensembles. ...
Repository : HAL - Hyper Article on Line
Language(s) : English

High resolution forecast of heavy precipitation with Lokal Modell: analysis of two case studies in the Alpine area

Author(s) : Elementi, M. , Marsigli, C. , Paccagnella, T.
Description : Northern Italy is frequently affected by severe precipitation conditions often inducing flood events with associated loss of properties, damages and casualties. The capability of correctly forecast these events, strongly required for an efficient support to civil protection actions, is still nowaday...
Repository : HAL - Hyper Article on Line
Language(s) : English

The COSMO-LEPS mesoscale ensemble system: validation of the methodology and verification

Author(s) : Marsigli, C. , Boccanera, F. , Montani, A. , Paccagnella, T.
Description : The limited-area ensemble prediction system COSMO-LEPS has been running every day at ECMWF since November 2002. A number of runs of the non-hydrostatic limited-area model Lokal Modell (LM) are available every day, nested on members of the ECMWF global ensemble. The limited-area ensemble forecasts ra...
Repository : HAL - Hyper Article on Line
Language(s) : English

Quantifying the discharge forecast uncertainty by different approaches to probabilistic quantitative precipitation forecast

Author(s) : Diomede, T. , Marsigli, C. , Nerozzi, F. , Paccagnella, T. , Montani, A.
Description : A probabilistic approach to flood prediction over the Reno river basin, a medium-sized catchment in Northern Italy, has been tested using two different meteorological ensemble systems. The future precipitation scenarios are provided either by an analogue-based technique (statistical approach) or by ...
Repository : HAL - Hyper Article on Line
Language(s) : English

Performance of the ARPA-SMR limited-area ensemble prediction system: two flood cases

Author(s) : Montani, A. , Marsigli, C. , Nerozzi, F. , Paccagnella, T. , Buizza, R.
Description : The performance of the ARPA-SMR Limited-area Ensemble Prediction System (LEPS), generated by nesting a limited-area model on selected members of the ECMWF targeted ensemble, is evaluated for two flood events that occurred during September 1992. The predictability of the events is studied for forecas...
Repository : HAL - Hyper Article on Line
Language(s) : English

A meteo-hydrological prediction system based on a multi-model approach for precipitation forecasting

Author(s) : Davolio, S. , Miglietta, M. M. , Diomede, T. , Marsigli, C. , Morgillo, A. , Moscatello, A.
Description : The precipitation forecasted by a numerical weather prediction model, even at high resolution, suffers from errors which can be considerable at the scales of interest for hydrological purposes. In the present study, a fraction of the uncertainty related to meteorological prediction is taken into acc...
Repository : HAL - Hyper Article on Line
Language(s) : English

The Soverato flood in Southern Italy: performance of global and limited-area ensemble forecasts

Author(s) : Montani, A. , Marsigli, C. , Nerozzi, F. , Paccagnella, T. , Tibaldi, S. , Buizza, R.
Description : The predictability of the flood event affecting Soverato (Southern Italy) in September 2000 is investigated by considering three different configurations of ECMWF ensemble: the operational Ensemble Prediction System (EPS), the targeted EPS and a high-resolution version of EPS. For each configuration...
Repository : HAL - Hyper Article on Line
Language(s) : English

Discharge prediction based on multi-model precipitation forecasts

Author(s) : Diomede T. , Davolio S. , Marsigli C. , Miglietta M. M. , Moscatello A. , Papetti P. , Paccagnella T. , Buzzi A. , Malguzzi P.
Description : In the field of hydrological prediction for medium-sized watersheds, characterized by complex orography and short response times, forecasts cannot rely only upon observed precipitation: predicted rainfall is in this case an essential input for hydrological models. However, the quality and reliabilit...
Repository : National Research Council Bologna - ISAC Repository
Language(s) : English
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Found 8 documents, displaying page 1 of 1